Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.014284 0.016586 0.019127 0.022137 0.025605 0.029473 0.034113
2026-01-18 0.010803 0.013765 0.017333 0.021942 0.027729 0.034750 0.043910
2026-01-25 0.008331 0.011505 0.015630 0.021366 0.029123 0.039232 0.053391
2026-02-01 0.006653 0.009865 0.014326 0.020948 0.030499 0.043744 0.063477
2026-02-08 0.005476 0.008654 0.013338 0.020703 0.031952 0.048432 0.074352
2026-02-15 0.004514 0.007561 0.012300 0.020155 0.032788 0.052237 0.084352
2026-02-22 0.004042 0.007133 0.012181 0.020953 0.035729 0.059500 0.100494
2026-03-01 0.003502 0.006493 0.011607 0.020893 0.037226 0.064605 0.113761
2026-03-08 0.002947 0.005727 0.010691 0.020091 0.037315 0.067331 0.123306
2026-03-15 0.002579 0.005236 0.010178 0.019908 0.038426 0.071876 0.136482
2026-03-22 0.002423 0.005123 0.010333 0.020966 0.041914 0.081011 0.158970
2026-03-29 0.002229 0.004899 0.010241 0.021523 0.044503 0.088761 0.179744
2026-04-05 0.001934 0.004426 0.009602 0.020931 0.044815 0.092327 0.193122
2026-04-12 0.001716 0.004084 0.009181 0.020725 0.045880 0.097493 0.210326
2026-04-19 0.001499 0.003708 0.008634 0.020171 0.046134 0.101039 0.224634
2026-04-26 0.001324 0.003400 0.008188 0.019770 0.046658 0.105190 0.240698
2026-05-03 0.001184 0.003151 0.007838 0.019536 0.047512 0.110125 0.259019
2026-05-10 0.001044 0.002879 0.007396 0.019016 0.047634 0.113448 0.274113
2026-05-17 0.000992 0.002826 0.007474 0.019770 0.050866 0.124169 0.307418
2026-05-24 0.000903 0.002658 0.007241 0.019713 0.052113 0.130418 0.330928
2026-05-31 0.000792 0.002409 0.006763 0.018955 0.051503 0.132173 0.343803
2026-06-07 0.000718 0.002257 0.006519 0.018782 0.052370 0.137618 0.366413
2026-06-14 0.000699 0.002260 0.006697 0.019781 0.056460 0.151564 0.412098